Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
