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League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
SU

Doncaster
4 - 1
Sutton

Ironside (17' pen., 52'), Westbrooke (63'), Faal (67')
Rowe (56'), Nixon (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Smith (90+9')
N'Guessan (29'), Kizzi (34'), Smith (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Sutton United

Both of these teams will be desperate to pick up some points as they try to push away from the situation they are in at the moment. However, that in itself is something that could lead to Doncaster and Sutton playing out a draw, especially due to the lack of confidence in each squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawSutton United
40.61% (0.012 0.01) 26.34% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.05% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)52.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.004999999999999 -0)73.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.01% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)29.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)65.73% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 40.6%
    Sutton United 33.05%
    Draw 26.34%
Doncaster RoversDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 40.6%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 33.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Doncaster
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crawley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 3-2 Doncaster
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Everton U21s
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 0-0 Crawley (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 4-0 Walsall
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Sutton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two


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