SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahly | Draw | Al-Ain |
50.19% ( -0.43) | 24.19% ( 0.17) | 25.62% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.53) | 46.83% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( -0.5) | 69.09% ( 0.5) |
| Al Ahly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( -0.37) | 18.69% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.95% ( -0.63) | 50.05% ( 0.63) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% ( -0.07) | 32.37% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.12% ( -0.08) | 68.88% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ahly | Draw | Al-Ain |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 50.18% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.62% |
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