As the champions of Europe, Real Madrid will be expected to swan into the Lusail Stadium and romp to victory on Wednesday night, especially if all of their attacking stars are fit to make the starting XI.
CONCACAF champions Pachuca will cherish the chance to pit their wits against one of the world's biggest clubs, although we do not believe that the Mexicans will enjoy a fairytale final in Qatar.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 67.4%. A draw has a probability of 18.4% and a win for Real Madrid has a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Real Madrid win it is 1-2 (4.07%).
