Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
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