Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 31.93% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.43%).