Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
