SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
36.51% ( 0.1) | 25.31% ( -0.01) | 38.18% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.92% ( 0.06) | 47.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.68% ( 0.06) | 69.32% ( -0.06) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.09) | 25.19% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.08% ( 0.12) | 59.92% ( -0.12) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( -0.02) | 24.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.35% ( -0.03) | 58.65% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anderlecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.18% |
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