Always posing a threat going forward with Aspas leading the charge, Celta Vigo have been a bit of a bogey team for Barcelona in the past and will aim to take advantage of the Busquets-less Blaugrana midfield.
Xavi will not want to see his side let their energy levels drop despite sealing Champions League qualification, though, and the wealth of the hosts' attacking options leads us to back a narrow win for the Barcelona.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.