SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.5%) and 1-3 (5.23%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.11% ( -0.45) | 22.13% ( 0.04) | 42.75% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 68.34% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.31) | 31.8% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.67% ( -0.36) | 53.33% ( 0.36) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( -0.35) | 18.93% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( -0.59) | 50.44% ( 0.59) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( 0.03) | 15.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.22% ( 0.05) | 44.78% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.94% Total : 42.75% |
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