SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
48.07% ( 0.01) | 23.73% ( 0) | 28.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.02) | 42.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( -0.02) | 65.21% ( 0.01) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( -0) | 17.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.17% ( -0) | 48.82% ( -0) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( -0.02) | 28.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.97% ( -0.03) | 64.02% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.66% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.2% |
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