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Premier League | Gameweek 32
May 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
CL

Man Utd
4 - 1
Chelsea

Casemiro (6'), Martial (45+6'), Fernandes (73' pen.), Rashford (78')
Malacia (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Felix (89')
Fernandez (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Chelsea win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawChelsea
62.58% (0.237 0.24) 20.85% (-0.118 -0.12) 16.56% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (0.298 0.3)43.78% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (0.289 0.29)66.17% (-0.289 -0.29)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (0.163 0.16)13.4% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.67% (0.33 0.33)40.32% (-0.329 -0.33)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.35% (0.030000000000001 0.03)39.65% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.67% (0.028000000000002 0.03)76.33% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 62.58%
    Chelsea 16.57%
    Draw 20.85%
Manchester UnitedDrawChelsea
2-0 @ 10.73%
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.61% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 62.58%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.85%
0-1 @ 4.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 16.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Wolves
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, May 7 at 7pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Man Utd
Thursday, May 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Man Utd
Thursday, April 27 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Chelsea
Sunday, May 21 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-3 Chelsea
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Chelsea
Tuesday, May 2 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Brentford
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Champions League


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