Following a 4-0 win in December's reverse fixture at San Siro, Inter are set to complete the double over Cagliari, as they carry over momentum from their Coppa Italia triumph.
With a winnable game remaining on the final day, the hosts may still have a shot at redemption next week, but they have lost half of their home fixtures to this point and are particularly vulnerable defensively.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.78%) and 0-3 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
1.35) 
-2.36) 
