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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 5pm UK
San Siro
SL

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Sampdoria

Perisic (49'), Correa (55', 57')
Barella (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Yoshida (5'), Ferrari (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Sampdoria

Eleven goals in their last three games - including 30 minutes of Coppa Italia final extra time - suggests that Inter are holding nothing back in their pursuit of the double. It would take an improbable turn of events for Sampdoria to deprive them of three points on Sunday, so they will take care of business at San Siro and await news from Sassuolo's Mapei Stadium with bated breath. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.2%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 5.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.87%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
82.2% (0.395 0.39) 12.02% (-0.068 -0.07) 5.79% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 43.78% (-1.96 -1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.53% (-1.273 -1.27)33.47% (1.275 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.74% (-1.47 -1.47)55.26% (1.472 1.47)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.91% (-0.178 -0.18)6.09% (0.1791 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.87% (-0.501 -0.5)23.13% (0.503 0.5)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.62% (-1.994 -1.99)53.38% (1.996 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.11% (-1.287 -1.29)86.89% (1.288 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 82.18%
    Sampdoria 5.79%
    Draw 12.02%
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.72% (0.58 0.58)
3-0 @ 11.87% (0.42 0.42)
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.506 0.51)
4-0 @ 8.31% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 5.22% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-0 @ 4.65% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.92% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.199 -0.2)
6-0 @ 2.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.159 -0.16)
6-1 @ 1.36% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 82.18%
1-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 2.51% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 12.02%
0-1 @ 2.04% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 1.79% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 5.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-4 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-2 Empoli
Friday, May 6 at 5.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, April 27 at 7.15pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Roma
Saturday, April 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 4-1 Fiorentina
Monday, May 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Sampdoria
Saturday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-0 Genoa
Saturday, April 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 Salernitana
Saturday, April 16 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Sampdoria
Monday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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