Having lost just four times at home all season, Udinese are a force to be reckoned with at the Dacia Arena, but Inter arrive with the bit between their teeth and are sure to leave nothing in reserve following Wednesday's events. The hosts are set to score at least once, given their front-line fluency of late, but the champions will not make the same mistakes again and should be able to grind out a precious victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Udinese win it was 2-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Inter Milan
18.45%	21.2%	60.35%

Both teams to score 54.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.87%

42.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.47%

64.53%

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.53%

36.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.75%

73.25%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.46%

13.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.39%

40.6%

Score Analysis

Udinese 18.45%

Inter Milan 60.35%

Draw 21.2%

Udinese	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 5.02% 1-0 @ 4.98% 2-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.55% Total : 18.45%	1-1 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 5.02% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.2%	1-2 @ 9.96% 0-2 @ 9.87% 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-3 @ 6.64% 0-3 @ 6.58% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 3.32% 0-4 @ 3.29% 2-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.16% Total : 60.35%