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May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK at Estadio El Madrigal
Villarreal
1 - 2
Real Sociedad
Coquelin (43')
Foyth (68'), Albiol (77'), Lo Celso (90+6'), Jackson (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Isak (56'), Zubimendi (73')
Zaldua (2'), Isak (82')

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Real Sociedad

With so much on the line on Sunday, we predict a tight encounter and see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome. While the hosts desperately need a win in their pursuit of European qualification, the losses of Danjuma and Moreno could hit them hard against a stronger defence, and we do not see them putting La Real to the sword with a makeshift front line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawReal Sociedad
44.85% (-1.832 -1.83) 25.24% (0.474 0.47) 29.92% (1.355 1.36)
Both teams to score 54.84% (-0.718 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.47% (-1.323 -1.32)48.52% (1.319 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.35% (-1.219 -1.22)70.65% (1.215 1.22)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-1.354 -1.35)21.64% (1.351 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-2.116 -2.12)54.76% (2.113 2.11)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (0.28800000000001 0.29)30.01% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.346 0.35)66.13% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 44.85%
    Real Sociedad 29.92%
    Draw 25.23%
VillarrealDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.134 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.293 -0.29)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.85%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.476 0.48)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.322 0.32)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.92%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-5 Villarreal
Thursday, May 12 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, May 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-3 Liverpool
Tuesday, May 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Alaves 2-1 Villarreal
Saturday, April 30 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, April 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Villarreal 2-0 Valencia
Tuesday, April 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-0 Cadiz
Thursday, May 12 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Levante 2-1 Real Sociedad
Friday, May 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, May 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Barcelona
Thursday, April 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-0 Real Betis
Friday, April 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 1-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, April 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
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La Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Almeria00000000
2Athletic Bilbao00000000
3Atletico MadridAtletico00000000
4CadizCadiz00000000
5Celta Vigo00000000
6ElcheElche00000000
7Espanyol00000000
8Barcelona00000000
9Getafe00000000
10GironaGirona00000000
11Mallorca00000000
12Osasuna00000000
13Rayo Vallecano00000000
14Real Betis00000000
15Real Madrid00000000
16Real Sociedad00000000
17Real Valladolid00000000
18Sevilla00000000
19Valencia00000000
20Villarreal00000000
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