SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Leicester City |
69.85% ( 0.19) | 16.1% ( 0.07) | 14.05% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 64.05% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.02% ( -1.05) | 25.97% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.82% ( -1.37) | 46.18% ( 1.36) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.25% ( -0.22) | 6.74% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.07% ( -0.59) | 24.93% ( 0.59) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% ( -1.09) | 31.31% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% ( -1.28) | 67.67% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.09)6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 4.05% Total : 69.85% | 1-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.4% Total : 16.1% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 14.05% |
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