SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Manchester United |
58.24% ( 1.34) | 21.63% ( -0.19) | 20.13% ( -1.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( -0.69) | 41.54% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0.7) | 63.94% ( 0.7) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( 0.19) | 13.99% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.49% ( 0.37) | 41.51% ( -0.37) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% ( -1.51) | 34.36% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.94% ( -1.64) | 71.06% ( 1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.12% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.07% Total : 20.13% |
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