SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.28%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 19.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.74%) and 3-1 (7.3%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester United |
61.28% ( -7.63) | 19.32% ( 2.33) | 19.4% ( 5.31) |
| Both teams to score 63.69% ( 3.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.44% ( -1.07) | 31.56% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.95% ( -1.27) | 53.05% ( 1.27) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.95% ( -2) | 10.05% ( 2.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.85% ( -4.83) | 33.15% ( 4.83) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( 5.19) | 29.19% ( -5.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% ( 5.95) | 65.14% ( -5.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -1.04)3-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.58)1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 5.93% ( -1.45)3-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.77)4-0 @ 3.41% ( -1.24)4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.58)5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.78)5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.15)4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.61% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.86)0-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.35)Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.32% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 1.14) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.66)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.63)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.65)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.68)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.35)Other @ 3.03% Total : 19.4% |
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