SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester United |
59.64% ( -0.19) | 20.41% ( 0.04) | 19.94% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.9% ( 0.03) | 36.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.8% ( 0.03) | 58.2% ( -0.03) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% ( -0.05) | 11.84% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.89% ( -0.1) | 37.11% ( 0.09) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( 0.16) | 31.38% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( 0.18) | 67.74% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 59.64% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.41% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 19.94% |
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