SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Arsenal |
49.81% ( -0) | 21.9% ( -0.02) | 28.3% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.53% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66% ( 0.1) | 34% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.14% ( 0.11) | 55.86% ( -0.11) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.92% ( 0.04) | 14.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.32% ( 0.07) | 41.68% ( -0.06) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( 0.07) | 23.74% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% ( 0.1) | 57.87% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.7% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.3% |
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