Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sassuolo |
65.2% ( -2.98) | 17.64% ( 1.22) | 17.17% ( 1.77) |
Both teams to score 65.76% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.9% ( -2.57) | 27.11% ( 2.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.38% ( -3.31) | 47.62% ( 3.32) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.07% ( -1.23) | 7.93% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.97% ( -3.23) | 28.04% ( 3.24) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% ( 0.14) | 28.58% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.63% ( 0.18) | 64.37% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.55) 4-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.39) 4-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.28) 5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.42) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.34) 5-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.25) 4-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.26) Other @ 4.24% Total : 65.2% | 1-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.46% Total : 17.64% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.44) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.28) Other @ 3.77% Total : 17.17% |
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