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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 39.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.41%) and 1-3 (4.79%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Arsenal |
39.73% ( -0.08) | 19.3% ( -0.02) | 40.96% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 80.49% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 83.19% ( 0.11) | 16.81% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 66.6% ( 0.16) | 33.4% ( -0.16) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.54% ( 0.03) | 10.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.93% ( 0.05) | 34.07% ( -0.05) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.89% ( 0.07) | 10.11% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.72% ( 0.17) | 33.28% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)5-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.82% Total : 39.73% | 2-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)4-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.3% | 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0)2-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% 2-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0)3-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.05% Total : 40.97% |
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