SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
36.5% ( -0.24) | 24.47% ( 0.05) | 39.02% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( -0.28) | 43.2% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( -0.28) | 65.6% ( 0.28) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.25) | 23.41% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( -0.37) | 57.41% ( 0.37) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( -0.03) | 22.12% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( -0.05) | 55.49% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 36.5% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.02% |
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