SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chelsea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Chelsea |
38.26% ( 0) | 25.89% ( -0.02) | 35.85% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% ( 0.09) | 49.73% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% ( 0.08) | 71.74% ( -0.08) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( 0.04) | 25.45% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.72% ( 0.06) | 60.28% ( -0.06) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0.05) | 26.81% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( 0.07) | 62.1% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.85% |
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