SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.75%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
42.52% ( -0.08) | 22.36% ( 0.02) | 35.11% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 67.43% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.02% ( -0.09) | 32.97% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.3% ( -0.1) | 54.69% ( 0.1) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( -0.07) | 16.27% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.19% ( -0.12) | 45.81% ( 0.12) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( -0.01) | 19.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.67% ( -0.02) | 51.32% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.11% |
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