Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.75%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
42.52% ( -0.08)	22.36% ( 0.02)	35.11% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 67.43% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.02% (

-0.09)

32.97% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.3% (

-0.1)

54.69% (

0.1)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

-0.07)

16.27% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.19% (

-0.12)

45.81% (

0.12)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

-0.01)

19.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.67% (

-0.02)

51.32% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 42.52%

Red Bull Salzburg 35.11%

Draw 22.36%

AC Milan	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.68% Total : 42.52%	1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.11%