Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Red Bull Salzburg.
Result | ||
Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
55.62% ( 0.03) | 23.04% ( -0.01) | 21.34% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.6% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.77% ( -0.01) | 46.23% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.48% ( -0) | 68.52% ( 0) |
Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.54% ( 0.01) | 16.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.84% ( 0.02) | 46.15% ( -0.02) |
Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( -0.02) | 35.84% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.38% ( -0.03) | 72.62% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 21.34% |
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