Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
0.96) 
-1.62) 
