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Europa League | Final
May 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
Puskas Arena
RL

Sevilla
1 - 1
Roma

Sevilla win 4-1 on penalties
Mancini (55' og.)
Mir (36'), Rakitic (65'), Lamela (110'), Jordan (120'), Montiel (120+4'), Ocampos (120+10')
FT
(aet)
Dybala (35')
Matic (22'), Pellegrini (45'), Mancini (48'), Cristante (65'), Celik (74'), Zalewski (105'), Karsdorp (120+10'), Mourinho (120')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%).

Result
SevillaDrawRoma
35.5% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 27.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 36.61% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.08% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11% (0.023000000000003 0.02)57.9% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)78.61% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.32% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02)30.31% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.028000000000006 0.03)66.49% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 35.49%
    Roma 36.6%
    Draw 27.9%
SevillaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.4% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 6.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Sevilla
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-0 Betis
Sunday, May 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Juventus
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Valladolid 0-3 Sevilla
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Sevilla
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Roma
Saturday, May 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Monday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Roma
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Roma
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 0-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A


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