Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
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