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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
S

Roma
2 - 2
Salernitana

El Shaarawy (47'), Matic (83')
Zalewski (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Candreva (12'), Dia (54')
Gyomber (69'), Ochoa (85'), Daniliuc (87'), Dia (90+5')
Sousa (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Roma
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, May 13 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Salernitana

With their patched-up squad and heavy workload, Roma are vulnerable to a buoyant Salernitana side - particularly as they lack sufficient firepower up front. The visitors do not tend to travel well, but on current form they can pick up a point at the Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.55%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
RomaDrawSalernitana
69.41% (-0.142 -0.14) 19.86% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 10.72% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 39.77% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.067 -0.07)52.07% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.058 -0.06)73.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)13.93% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (-0.126 -0.13)41.39% (0.126 0.13)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.21% (0.105 0.1)53.79% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.85% (0.064 0.06)87.15% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Roma 69.41%
    Salernitana 10.72%
    Draw 19.86%
RomaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 14.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 14.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.56% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.71% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.86% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 69.41%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.86%
0-1 @ 4.65% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.84% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Roma
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Roma
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 0-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, May 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 2-1 Salernitana
Monday, May 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-3 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Serie A


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