Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Chelsea
17.38% ( 0.66)	21.18% ( 0.44)	61.44% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 52.89% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.19% (

-0.77)

43.81% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.8% (

-0.76)

66.2% (

0.76)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.32% (

0.33)

38.68% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.58% (

0.31)

75.42% (

-0.31)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.25% (

-0.57)

13.75% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.97% (

-1.15)

41.03% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Udinese 17.38%

Chelsea 61.43%

Draw 21.18%

Udinese	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 17.38%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.18%	0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 10.46% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.92% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.94% Total : 61.43%