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UL
Friendlies
Jul 29, 2022 at 8pm UK
Dacia Arena
CL

Udinese
1 - 3
Chelsea

Deulofeu (42')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kante (20'), Sterling (37'), Mount (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawChelsea
17.38% (0.66 0.66) 21.18% (0.436 0.44) 61.44% (-1.096 -1.1)
Both teams to score 52.89% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (-0.775 -0.77)43.81% (0.776 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (-0.764 -0.76)66.2% (0.764 0.76)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (0.327 0.33)38.68% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (0.311 0.31)75.42% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.571 -0.57)13.75% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97% (-1.146 -1.15)41.03% (1.148 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 17.38%
    Chelsea 61.43%
    Draw 21.18%
UdineseDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 5.05% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 4.76% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 2.4% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 1.51% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.38%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.213 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.179 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.18%
0-1 @ 10.55% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 10.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.92% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-4 @ 3.44% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-4 @ 3.26% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.3% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 61.43%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Salernitana 0-4 Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Spezia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Udinese
Saturday, May 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-4 Udinese
Wednesday, April 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Udinese
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Chelsea
Sunday, July 24 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Chelsea (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, July 21 at 1.35am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 America
Sunday, July 17 at 3am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-1 Leicester
Thursday, May 19 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Liverpool (5-6 pen.)
Saturday, May 14 at 4.45pm in FA Cup


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