Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (6.37%).
0.85) 
-1.16) 
