SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (6.37%).
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
18.44% ( 0.85) | 23.42% ( 0.3) | 58.13% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.88% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( 0.03) | 51.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( 0.03) | 73.33% ( -0.03) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.01% ( 1.04) | 41.99% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.58% ( 0.89) | 78.42% ( -0.89) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( -0.4) | 17.47% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.05% ( -0.7) | 47.95% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.44% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 11.16% ( -0.31)1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 58.12% |
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