Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for York City had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.05) 
