Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for South Shields had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a South Shields win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | South Shields |
59.63% ( 0.81) | 21.01% ( -0.15) | 19.36% ( -0.66) |
Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.19% ( -0.3) | 39.81% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.83% ( -0.31) | 62.16% ( 0.3) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.98% ( 0.14) | 13.01% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.45% ( 0.3) | 39.54% ( -0.3) |
South Shields Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.87% ( -0.84) | 34.13% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.18% ( -0.91) | 70.82% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | South Shields |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.56% Total : 59.63% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.36% |
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