While Mirandes can count on their recent experience of avoiding defeat against a top-flight side in Osasuna, Valverde's Athletic team are finally due a victory in the off-season and the Lions should have too much for their second-tier opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 12.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (5.33%).

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Mirandes
65.61% ( 0.15)	21.43% ( -0.09)	12.97% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 41.93% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.96% (

0.22)

53.04% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.38% (

0.19)

74.62% (

-0.19)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55% (

0.12)

15.45% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.71% (

0.23)

44.29% (

-0.23)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.58% (

0.04)

50.42% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.06% (

0.03)

84.94% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 65.6%

Mirandes 12.97%

Draw 21.43%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Mirandes
1-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 13.58% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 65.6%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.43%	0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 12.97%