Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a UD Oliveirense win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
UD Oliveirense	Draw	Arouca
22.76% ( -0)	24.89% ( 0)	52.35% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.77% (

0.01)

52.23% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06% (

73.93% (

-0)

UD Oliveirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.16% (

37.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.39% (

74.61%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

19.93% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.92% (

0.01)

52.08% (

-0)

Score Analysis

UD Oliveirense 22.76%

Arouca 52.34%

Draw 24.89%

UD Oliveirense	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.75% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.61% Total : 22.76%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 12.16% 0-2 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 52.34%