Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.63%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 3.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 4-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for a Leixoes win it was 1-2 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Leixoes |
87.63% (![]() | 8.57% (![]() | 3.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75% (![]() | 25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.08% (![]() | 44.92% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.34% (![]() | 3.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.22% (![]() | 15.78% (![]() |
Leixoes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.86% (![]() | 54.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.64% (![]() | 87.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Leixoes |
3-0 @ 11.95% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.84% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.65% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.91% Total : 87.63% | 1-1 @ 4.02% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.52% Total : 8.57% | 1-2 @ 1.24% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 1.34% Total : 3.79% |
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