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L
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Sep 27, 2023 at 8.45pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
E

Leixoes
1 - 2
Estoril

Bolgado (8')
Vieira (20'), Freitas (81')
Wakaso (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cassiano (3'), Tavares (62')
Koindredi (56'), Araujo (68'), Tavares (75'), Soares (90+2'), Alvaro (90+4'), Pavlic (90+7')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Leixoes and Estoril Praia.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Leixoes 0-0 Portimonense (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Vizela
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Leixoes had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Leixoes win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
LeixoesDrawEstoril Praia
28.99% (-0.139 -0.14) 25.76% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 45.24% (0.234 0.23)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.328 0.33)51.17% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.286 0.29)73.01% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)
Leixoes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.068999999999988 0.07)32.03% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.079000000000001 0.08)68.5% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.246 0.25)22.57% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (0.37 0.37)56.17% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Leixoes 29%
    Estoril Praia 45.24%
    Draw 25.76%
LeixoesDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leixoes 0-0 Portimonense (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 0-0 Feirense (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 23 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 1-2 Famalicao
Tuesday, January 10 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Feirense 2-1 Leixoes
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Leixoes
Sunday, December 4 at 5pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 2-1 Santa Clara
Wednesday, November 23 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Vizela
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 5-3 Estoril
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Boavista
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Estoril
Friday, August 25 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 4-3 Estoril
Sunday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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