SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Leixoes had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Leixoes win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leixoes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
28.99% ( -0.14) | 25.76% ( -0.1) | 45.24% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( 0.33) | 51.17% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( 0.29) | 73.01% ( -0.29) |
| Leixoes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( 0.07) | 32.03% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% ( 0.08) | 68.5% ( -0.08) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% ( 0.25) | 22.57% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.83% ( 0.37) | 56.17% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leixoes | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.24% |
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