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A
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
B

Arouca
2 - 1
Boavista

Mujica (30'), Weverson (39')
Simao (34'), Weverson (52'), Montero (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bambu (47')
Perez (34'), Agra (79'), Abascal (90')
Couto (35'), Perez (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Boavista
Friday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-0 Boavista

While Boavista will be looking to find their feet this weekend, they take on a spirited Arouca side who have been rock-solid at home in recent weeks. We predict that the Arouquenses will pick up where they left off against Braga and come away with another comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBoavista
44.08% (0.525 0.52) 25.08% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 30.85% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 55.86% (-0.425 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.435 -0.43)47.42% (0.438 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.405 -0.41)69.63% (0.40599999999999 0.41)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (0.058999999999997 0.06)21.52% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (0.088999999999999 0.09)54.58% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.595 -0.59)28.82% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.747 -0.75)64.67% (0.749 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 44.08%
    Boavista 30.85%
    Draw 25.08%
AroucaDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.189 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.08%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Braga 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Farense
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-5 Arouca
Friday, March 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 3-2 Famalicao
Friday, February 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Boavista
Friday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 6-1 Boavista
Sunday, March 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Boavista
Monday, March 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Braga
Monday, February 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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