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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Home Park
BR

Plymouth
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Plymouth win 4-3 on penalties
Hardie (58' pen.)
Whittaker (37')
FT
(aet)
Loft (50')
Saunders (60'), Rossiter (88')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bristol Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%).

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
42.52% (-0.552 -0.55) 24.94% (0.378 0.38) 32.54% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-1.232 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (-1.642 -1.64)46.18% (1.645 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.52% (-1.567 -1.57)68.48% (1.571 1.57)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.944 -0.94)21.72% (0.948 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (-1.466 -1.47)54.88% (1.468 1.47)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.684 -0.68)27.11% (0.688 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.904 -0.9)62.5% (0.90799999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 42.52%
    Bristol Rovers 32.54%
    Draw 24.94%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.366 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.381 0.38)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.155 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Plymouth
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 5-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Peterborough
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Peterborough
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One


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