SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
35.02% ( 0.11) | 24.54% ( 0.03) | 40.44% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.19% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( -0.14) | 43.7% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( -0.13) | 66.09% ( 0.13) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0) | 24.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( -0) | 58.89% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.13) | 21.64% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( -0.2) | 54.77% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.02% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.44% |
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