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Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 12, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
2 - 0
Tenerife

Ortuno (6', 45+4' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mellot (2'), Gallego (40'), Sanz (61')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Tenerife.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Alcorcon
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 2-0 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 41.78%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawTenerife
41.78% (-0.139 -0.14) 29.68% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 28.54% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 41.5% (0.213 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.83% (0.217 0.22)65.16% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.99% (0.15 0.15)84.01% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)30.87% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (0.035999999999994 0.04)67.15% (-0.038999999999987 -0.04)
Tenerife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03% (0.282 0.28)39.97% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (0.257 0.26)76.62% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 41.78%
    Tenerife 28.53%
    Draw 29.67%
CartagenaDrawTenerife
1-0 @ 14.5% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.06% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.78%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.33% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.67%
0-1 @ 11.31%
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 28.53%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Alcorcon
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 0-1 Cartagena
Sunday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 2-0 Real Oviedo
Monday, April 22 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 1-0 Cartagena
Saturday, April 13 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-2 Valladolid
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Leganes 0-0 Cartagena
Saturday, March 30 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 2-0 Racing de Ferrol
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Real Oviedo 0-1 Tenerife
Sunday, April 28 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 0-0 Leganes
Friday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 1-0 Tenerife
Sunday, April 14 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 2-1 Eibar
Sunday, April 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 3-1 Tenerife
Sunday, March 31 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division


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