Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.09%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.