Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Leixoes win it was 0-1 (7.4%).
-0.06) 
0.07) 
