Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.