Espanyol may be undefeated in their two friendly matches, but Toulouse have been in hot form in their four games, not conceding to either Roma or Girona in their most recent outings, and we expect the visitors to continue their run with a win here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
-0.18) 
0.02) 
