Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.05) 
