Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yarud Mariupol win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yarud Mariupol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%).