SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
33.8% ( 0.47) | 25.98% ( -0.33) | 40.22% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( 1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( 1.49) | 50.39% ( -1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( 1.31) | 72.32% ( -1.31) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 1.03) | 28.37% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( 1.28) | 64.11% ( -1.28) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.6) | 24.7% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( 0.83) | 59.24% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.22% |
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