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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
T

Lorient
1 - 2
Toulouse

Ponceau (19')
Adjei (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dallinga (59'), Cissoko (83')
Diarra (38'), Aboukhlal (51'), Sierro (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse

Although Lorient may benefit from having home advantage on Sunday, we cannot ignore that Toulouse are currently one of the form teams in the division. We feel that will continue on Sunday with the visitors battling their way to another maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.

Result
LorientDrawToulouse
26.55% (0.269 0.27) 23.95% (0.023 0.02) 49.5% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 56.68% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55% (0.107 0.11)45% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65% (0.102 0.1)67.35% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.265 0.27)30.66% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.314 0.31)66.9% (-0.318 -0.32)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)18.26% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (-0.126 -0.13)49.32% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 26.55%
    Toulouse 49.5%
    Draw 23.94%
LorientDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.91% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.09% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 49.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lorient 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 3-0 Lorient
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Lorient
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 31 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Lyon
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Toulouse
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-3 Lyon
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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